Friday, November 28, 2008

An Analysis of the Mumbai Attacks


Bill Roggio, over at The Long War Journal here, has by far, the best overall analysis of the tragic terrorist attacks on the Indian city of Mumbai that has gripped the world the past couple of days. I'm going to excerpt a few of the key parts of Bill's analysis and then excerpt some of the article body, but you oh it to yourself to read the entire article. This was an extremely complex operation and Bill's analysis is very indepth.

One area of analysis that I found fascinating was just how the jihadist teams GOT to Mumbai:


Indian Coast Guard, Navy, Mumbai maritime police, and customs units have scoured the waters off Mumbai in search of a "mother ship" that transported one or more smaller Gemini inflatable boats used by the attackers. A witness saw one of the craft land in Colaba in southern Mumbai and disgorge eight to 10 fighters.
Two ships that have been boarded are strongly suspected of being involved in the attacks: the Kuber, an Indian fishing boat, and the MV Alpha, a Vietnamese cargo ship. Both ships appear to have been directly involved. The Kuber was hijacked on Nov. 13, and its captain was found murdered. Four crewmen are reported to still be missing.
Indian security officials found what they believe is evidence linking the boat to the attack, as well as linking the attackers to Pakistan. "A GPS map of south Mumbai was found along with a satellite phone on the ship, Coast Guard officials confirmed," The Times of India reported.
The other aspect of the attack that I think points to the amazing planning as well as scouting for this mission is how the attackers first targeted the police station:


After landing in Colaba, the terrorists moved north and attacked the Colaba police station, possibly as a single unit. The attack on the police command and control node disrupted the police response and pinned down police units.
The Mumbai police paid a heavy price. Early in the fight, the attackers killed the chief of Mumbai's Anti-terrorism Squad and two other senior officials. At least 14 police were reported to have been killed during fighting throughout the city.
From the Colaba police station, the assault force broke up into smaller teams and fanned out to hit secondary targets throughout Mumbai.

The official analysis and investigation of this horrific attack will take probably months but when all of the dust settles, I do believe we will find that this operation was planned totally inside of Pakistan by al Qaeda linked groups and that they had operatives living in Mumbai for a long time. The sophistication of this should send chills down the spine of every country in the world.


Analysis: Mumbai attack differs from past terror strikes

Almost two days after terrorists attacked the Indian financial hub of Mumbai, the military is still working to root out the remnants of the assault teams at two hotels and a Jewish center. More than 125 people, including six foreigners, have been killed and 327 more have been wounded. The number is expected to go up, as Indian commandos have recovered an additional 30 dead at the Taj Mahal hotel as fighting has resumed.
The Mumbai attack is unique from past terror strikes carried out by Islamic terrorists. Instead of one or more bombings at distinct sites, the Mumbai attackers struck throughout the city using military tactics. Instead of one or more bombings carried out over a short period of time, Mumbai I entering its third day of crisis.
An attack of this nature cannot be thrown together overnight. It requires planned, scouting, financing, training, and a support network to aid the fighters. Initial reports indicate the attacks originated from Pakistan, the hub of jihadi activity in South Asia. Few local terror groups have the capacity to pull of an attack such as this.
While it is early to know exactly what happened in Mumbai as the fog of war still blankets the city, multiple press reports from India allow for a general picture to be painted. An estimated 12 to 25 terrorists are believed to have entered Mumbai by sea. After landing, he attack teams initiated a battle at a police station, then fanned across the city to attack the soft underbelly of hotels, cafes, cinemas, and hospitals. Civilians were gunned down and taken hostage, while terrorists looked for people carrying foreign passports.

1 comment:

Anna said...

Mumbai is AQ's Hue.

Initially bloody and successful but in the long run a defeat as India retakes everything while killing the vermin.

And like the Viet Cong killing all the intelligensia in Hue, this should be the only proof the Western intelligensia should need to realize AQ intends to kill them also. But there is nothing more self-delusional than someone completely bound in theories with no intersection with reality.